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LITHUIM SOURCING STRATEGY AT ROSS SCHOOL

Star lithium extraction to satisfy industries' demand Star

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The global lithium industry has changed dramatically over the last decade as we continue to see
increases in the electric vehicle and energy storage sectors. The annual consumption is expected
to shoot up by three to four million metric tons in 2030 and therefore, there should be enough
supply to meet the demand, which is expected to grow over 300 percent from 2021 to 2030.
Therefore one of the significant priorities is to identify more opportunities for lithium extraction
to satisfy industries’ demand.
Commercial lithium extraction technology currently relies on two primary sources- salt-flat
brines, and mineral ores. Salt-flat brines are an uncomplicated process, but it takes a lot of
time. Here, firstly the salt-rich water is pumped out into an evaporation pond, where water
slowly evaporates leaving a variety of salts to precipitate out, leaving the pond with lithium
concentration. Moving forward, the slurry of hydrated lime is added to the pond or brine to
remove unwanted elements, majorly magnesium and boron. When lithium concentration fills the
brine, it is pumped to a recovery facility where brine purification, chemical treatments, filtration,
and finally treatment with soda ash are performed to precipitate lithium carbonate. In the
denouement, washing and drying of lithium carbonate are done to finally make it available for
commercial use.
Another process, mineral ore is a significantly more cumbersome and energy intensive process,
where after the ore is mined, crushed, and roasted are at high temperature. Then it is cooled,
miled and roasted again with sulphuric acid. This step replaces hydrogen in sulphuric acid with
lithium, producing lithium sulfate and an insolvent residue.
According to U.S. Geological Survey, and Mineral Commodity, other lithium extraction
methods, such as direct lithium extraction (DLE) from geothermal and oil well brine, are being
researched at the moment for ascending global production. Now the end product of extraction
technology is mostly lithium carbonate however we do have other end products such as lithium
hydroxide, lithium chloride, and all others are mentioned in Exhibit 1.
At the moment, almost all lithium mining takes place in Australia, Latin America, and China.
However, pipelines of manifold projects will bring in new players for the lithium mining map,
including Western and Eastern Europe, Russia, and other Commonwealth of Independent States
Members. Additional lithium sources are expected to come from early-stage conventional brine
projects to bridge the supply gap. In the meantime, new technologies like DLE and Direct
Lithium to Product are expected to improve recovery and capacity and the use of direct shipping
ore (DSO) could help mitigate short-term supply risk.
Promising DLE technology is currently being considered not only by unconventional players but
also by traditional players too. The major benefits it provides are to eliminate the footprint of
environmental ponds, decrease production times, and lower reagent and water usage. For a
breakdown on global lithium reserves, refer to Exhibit 2.

ABOUT

Demand Surge
Although electric vehicles are a more sustainable mode of transportation than their
gasoline-guzzling counterparts, their production still consumes a significant amount of Earth’s
resources. With EV production increasing at a rapid pace, this peak will have to be easily
surpassed in the coming years. The demand for lithium carbonate is expected to be 636,000
metric tons in 2022 (Exhibit 3). EVs are expected to be the primary drivers of lithium demand
at this point.
Lithium demand is not limited to automobile industries rather it has an application in consumer
electronics, grid storage, and glass & ceramics. Lithium-ion batteries are widely used in
consumer electronics due to their rechargeability. Furthermore, lithium-ion battery packs have a
higher energy density and provide more power than other battery types. These factors are
increasing the demand for lithium-ion batteries in consumer electronics. Among various battery
technologies, lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have attracted significant interest as grid supporting
devices due to their remarkable advantages, namely relatively high energy density. So far, 77%
of electrical power storage systems in the United States that operate to stabilize the grid (e.g.,
primarily for frequency regulation) rely on LIBs, indicating that LIBs have a high-value market.
Furthermore, because of their high energy density, LIBs will be an excellent choice for
integration with renewable energy sources in grid-level energy storage systems, in which LIBs
store generated electrical energy for use at a low cost by end users when needed. In glass and
ceramics, Lithium increases ceramic body strength, improving durability. It also ensures color
consistency and increases melt rate and lowers viscosity. Exhibit 4 compares the
department-wise distribution of consumption of lithium in 2015 and 2025.

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Year

2022

Client

Ross School

Services

Project

Project

Sourcing

Description

Strategic response to supply constraints and price rises
One of the strategic solutions that EV manufacturers have identified is to invest in battery metals
such as lithium themselves to guarantee a reliable supply chain that meets their expansion goals.
There has been an increase in the number of battery-metals mining investments by carmakers to
secure enough battery metals. A total of 21 such investments were made over the past 18 months
from 2021 to 2022, as compared to just two prior to 2021. Of those projects, 16 were investments
into lithium mining and the rest were towards nickel. The lithium mining investment projects
included a supply deal between China’s Ganfeng Lithium Co. and Tesla in November 2021 and a
BMW Group investment in Lilac Solutions, which provides technology for sustainable lithium
extraction